AutomatingMechanicalJobs (ThoughtStorms)

Read with my AnswerVladOnMechanicalJobs and TurkingEconomy

2018 :

2015 : * Inexpensive table-top robots will disrupt light manufacturing

2013 :

2009 : *

** RoboticNation blog :

Of course, it depends on the continued availability of cheap energy. (See EndOfCheapOil)

Walmart pushing RFID on it's suppliers :

Just read the RoboticNation stuff - wow!! Not only does this scenario vastly over-estimate how close we are to creating robots that could replace human manaul labour (cleaning a house properly from top to bottom is a rediculously complex task that wont be automated for a LONG time). Then the author goes on to re-invent a kind of social welfare system while desparately trying to argue that a government and general taxation are not necessary.

On the one hand he want to eliminate all that wasted money spent on 'poverty' and said something like 'who wants to live on hand-outs from the government' - and then goes on to say that everyone should get paid a hand-out from a central 'fund' so that we don't have to work !! Beautiful .. almost comic !


Ah ... but how exactly does this differ from your picture of "technology" solving society's problems of inequality and poverty? (Ironically put but a serious question.)

-- PhilJones

I also am quite dubious of his argument that robots will be able to take our jobs really quickly. His argument using Moore's law is simplistic, ArtificialIntelligence is not a question of computing power, and with computers a hundred times faster than today's, we won't be much more advanced in many domains.

However advances in a lot of other domains make his argument plausible. Even if we don't have Artificial Intelligence, robots may still be able to do quite a bit. Not exactly like humans do, the nature of the job will probably change (Planes fly, cars take us places. Not the way birds or horses would, but still.), but it may well result in the same thing.

As far as I know the "robots will take all our jobs" scare has been going on for at least fifty years ... (Note that this doesn't mean that they aren't / won't be taking our jobs :)

I still find RoboticNation very interesting. Haven't read everything yet, but that kind of future is certainly worth considering !

-- EmileKroeger

Not that I believe the timeline for the humanoid robots, but the computer-controlled-humans timeline is well underway. See

-- AdrianHoward

See also ProductivityOfKnowledgeWork, AlternativesToCompanies, ClassWarBetweenProductsAndServices, OffShoring, MachineGatekeepers